Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 27.924214 32.217880 36.861816 42.246560 48.306632 54.903845 62.617050
2025-01-05 21.692715 27.903021 35.257335 44.550994 55.918847 69.303867 86.183438
2025-01-12 16.599826 23.342964 31.935771 43.559446 58.724241 77.673588 102.954354
2025-01-19 12.820699 19.497904 28.566208 41.566417 59.468543 82.961617 115.770999
2025-01-26 11.514946 18.665232 28.887362 44.232823 66.276615 96.319798 139.766795
2025-02-02 10.838321 18.569101 30.120489 48.154654 74.997478 112.750107 168.938950
2025-02-09 9.518256 17.248848 29.324502 48.925816 79.137753 122.949931 189.993442
2025-02-16 8.260366 15.810620 28.121726 48.862880 81.904692 131.215267 208.646151
2025-02-23 7.134859 14.406343 26.766799 48.348097 83.823701 138.216538 225.714898
2025-03-02 6.227874 13.238718 25.639091 48.032896 85.940679 145.539147 243.569497
2025-03-09 5.452714 12.188483 24.570248 47.666649 87.871523 152.597199 261.308910
2025-03-16 4.495683 10.625378 22.380828 45.096343 85.848695 153.142114 268.708061
2025-03-23 4.126466 10.238266 22.396744 46.611415 91.179316 166.363680 297.908024
2025-03-30 3.870743 10.062649 22.818367 48.958148 98.237982 183.044142 334.006543
2025-04-06 3.298008 9.078141 21.501772 47.850896 98.969064 189.041320 352.674170
2025-04-13 2.722237 7.966311 19.756755 45.681225 97.496717 191.051039 364.595683
2025-04-20 2.627689 8.012133 20.486436 48.574935 105.821501 210.834049 408.284039
2025-04-27 2.633706 8.315673 21.816517 52.829188 117.072052 236.480332 463.521453
2025-05-04 2.399002 7.938449 21.552934 53.665289 121.628125 250.151653 498.120430
2025-05-11 2.135707 7.428559 20.908820 53.597047 124.337221 260.521524 527.248472
2025-05-18 1.878228 6.878950 20.089491 53.038892 125.967592 268.904899 553.097279
2025-05-25 1.663675 6.409616 19.401145 52.697105 127.999647 278.132514 580.917861
2025-06-01 1.472575 5.969450 18.723293 52.299939 129.861983 287.100221 608.641835